Yet another Sarah Palin ad aimed at getting her to reconsider her decision to sit out Iowa and trying to convince caucus goers to write-in non-candidate Sarah Palin on January 3 has been created and will be airing on Iowa television:
Will it work?
Palin supporters have been all over the map after October 5. United by our chosen messenger and a powerful message of sudden and relentless common sense Constitutional reform, we became a force to be reckoned with in politics. Folks from across the country began working together and engaging in a political process that we had largely been spectators of for some time. Since McCain's defeat to Obama in 2008, many of us have been working, volunteering and contributing to getting Sarah Palin elected in 2012. When Mrs. Palin informed the nation on October 5 that she would not be seeking the presidential nomination and then followed up by telling Mark Levin that she'd also ruled out a third party run, her supporters were flummoxed.
Some supporters have turned sour on the former Alaska governor and moved on. Some have moved on reluctantly because, well, we have a country to save. Some folks have remained steadfastly devoted to Sarah Palin only. They refuse to even entertain the idea of supporting anyone else and many of them whole-heartedly still believe that she's running no matter what she says.
As a major supporter of Sarah Palin, I choose not to demonize or attack any of these folks. I've met many of them and spent the last few years building relationships and networks of passionate citizen activists. They have big hearts and boundless patriotism. They love the Constitution and are devoted to rooting out corruption in our government by putting government back on the side of the people.
Personally, I've spent most of my time since October 5 vetting the current candidates for president. I've done some reading up on their records and done some compare and contrast work between their actions and their rhetoric. It ain't pretty.
There are things to celebrate about each of the candidates. But like Sarah Palin stated in an interview on Fox News last Sunday, I haven't been able to get behind a candidate enthusiastically 100% just yet.
So when Sarah Palin told Eric Bolling on Fox Business Network last night that "it's not too late" to enter the race and "who knows what will happen in the future" instead of the expected "no" to his question on whether or not she might get back into this race, it's time to pay attention.
This evening on Fox News, Eric Bolling asked Carl Cameron about the reality of Sarah Palin getting into the race and he largely dismissed it but admitted there were large numbers of Republicans hoping that someone else gets into the race.
Here's the situation as I see it:
1. Mrs. Palin's interview on Sunday stated her general dissatisfaction with the field for the first time in such a direct and largely negative way. She even questioned whether any of them really get the danger we are in. That's a huge shift in her political analysis post-October 5. In each of her appearances since then she's been careful to give praise around to various candidates. In this interview, she very clearly has had a shift in her thinking. It's a shift on par with that pre-October 5 Greta interview where Mrs. Palin publicly mused about a title being "too shackley" for her. After this late September appearance the fire in the belly seemed to be extinguished and many of her supporters began worrying that night that she might opt out of the race.
Her growing disdain for the field brings to mind her repeated claims throughout 2011 that she would run if nobody else was in the race that could carry her message of reform. She apparently has decided that nobody in the race now can carry that message. I believe she is now at a crossroads. Does she jump in and save the day or does she hold her nose and pick the least objectionable candidate to try to prop up?
2. Mrs. Palin's comments regarding there still being time to enter the race and "shake things up" even post-Iowa were made in TWO interviews over the course of one day also mark a shift of sorts. In one interview, you could dismiss her comments as just a throwaway. Mentioning it in two interviews in one day coming roughly 24 hours after she dismissed the current GOP field? Well, that's something. It means that this is something that she intentionally wants us to hear. Why? Prior to this Palin has been very careful to always state that she has "no regrets" on her decision. These interviews run counter to that.
3. I am not of the mind-set that Mrs. Palin has always been running and that this is all a part of her master plan to run while not running. I know a lot of good folks who do believe that. I just don't. She clearly looked and acted differently when she decided not to run. I think she was waiting out the field for some time. I think, however, that something changed her mind in mid to late September regarding a presidential run.
4. Mrs. Palin isn't necessarily coordinating her campaign kickoff just yet, but folks who are dismissing her supporters as delusional are also off-base.
5. I don't even know that Mrs. Palin is reconsidering. I think she's open to it. I don't think you can see her comments in the full context and not at least concede that she's open to the idea. I think she's having serious doubts that the current GOP field can carry this message of reform. Is it enough to propel her into the race? Maybe. Is it worth telling folks to caucus for her in Iowa? I think it might be. As Rush Limbaugh commented, it is very easy to spell Palin.
6. Sarah has had every opportunity to tell the "reconsider" folks to stop. Her comments in both interviews, it seems to me, set off an additional internet firestorm about her intentions regarding 2012. There have already been Facebook groups, blog posts, and television ads run in Iowa in support of the reconsider movement. If she didn't want folks thinking that a simple tweet would correct the situation. No such tweet has materialized.
It could be that Sarah is just trying to "scare" the GOP field into adapting her message. Time for that approach seems to be running out however.
Sarah Palin's 3 interviews over Sunday and Monday were designed to get people thinking. Whether that leads to more vetting for the current crop of candidates or whether it culminates in her entering the race at some later date, it is a dramatic shift from the last 2 months.
Is it an earthquake?
I don't think people should read too much into her comments. I don't think they should read too little into them either. She promised Sean Hannity an "unconventional campaign" in the fall. I believe that she has the capacity and potential to deliver just that.
So the good folks in the reconsider movement should keep it up. Good common sense Constitutional folks in Iowa should take a long hard look at caucusing for Palin. Newt has slipped into a distant third in Iowa. Crazy Ron Paul (who is completely unelectable) and RINO Romney are currently the top dogs in Iowa. Bachmann and Perry are too low to matter. Santorum is surging, but has just caught up to Perry and Bachmann after a year of campaigning. Tea party folks might want to look at the idea of writing in Palin. A strong showing for Palin would probably do more to thwart the plans of the establishment at this point than anything. If Romney wins Iowa as it currently looks like he might, a strong showing from Palin could steal his thunder and jump start the conservative comeback. Palin could then get into the race or use her strong showing to again put pressure on the gang to get their act together and unite behind a non-Romney candidate. Either way the tea party wins.
Iowa just might shake things up after all. Given the terrible state of the GOP declared candidates, it can't come a moment too soon.
Will it work?
Palin supporters have been all over the map after October 5. United by our chosen messenger and a powerful message of sudden and relentless common sense Constitutional reform, we became a force to be reckoned with in politics. Folks from across the country began working together and engaging in a political process that we had largely been spectators of for some time. Since McCain's defeat to Obama in 2008, many of us have been working, volunteering and contributing to getting Sarah Palin elected in 2012. When Mrs. Palin informed the nation on October 5 that she would not be seeking the presidential nomination and then followed up by telling Mark Levin that she'd also ruled out a third party run, her supporters were flummoxed.
Some supporters have turned sour on the former Alaska governor and moved on. Some have moved on reluctantly because, well, we have a country to save. Some folks have remained steadfastly devoted to Sarah Palin only. They refuse to even entertain the idea of supporting anyone else and many of them whole-heartedly still believe that she's running no matter what she says.
As a major supporter of Sarah Palin, I choose not to demonize or attack any of these folks. I've met many of them and spent the last few years building relationships and networks of passionate citizen activists. They have big hearts and boundless patriotism. They love the Constitution and are devoted to rooting out corruption in our government by putting government back on the side of the people.
Personally, I've spent most of my time since October 5 vetting the current candidates for president. I've done some reading up on their records and done some compare and contrast work between their actions and their rhetoric. It ain't pretty.
There are things to celebrate about each of the candidates. But like Sarah Palin stated in an interview on Fox News last Sunday, I haven't been able to get behind a candidate enthusiastically 100% just yet.
So when Sarah Palin told Eric Bolling on Fox Business Network last night that "it's not too late" to enter the race and "who knows what will happen in the future" instead of the expected "no" to his question on whether or not she might get back into this race, it's time to pay attention.
This evening on Fox News, Eric Bolling asked Carl Cameron about the reality of Sarah Palin getting into the race and he largely dismissed it but admitted there were large numbers of Republicans hoping that someone else gets into the race.
Here's the situation as I see it:
1. Mrs. Palin's interview on Sunday stated her general dissatisfaction with the field for the first time in such a direct and largely negative way. She even questioned whether any of them really get the danger we are in. That's a huge shift in her political analysis post-October 5. In each of her appearances since then she's been careful to give praise around to various candidates. In this interview, she very clearly has had a shift in her thinking. It's a shift on par with that pre-October 5 Greta interview where Mrs. Palin publicly mused about a title being "too shackley" for her. After this late September appearance the fire in the belly seemed to be extinguished and many of her supporters began worrying that night that she might opt out of the race.
Her growing disdain for the field brings to mind her repeated claims throughout 2011 that she would run if nobody else was in the race that could carry her message of reform. She apparently has decided that nobody in the race now can carry that message. I believe she is now at a crossroads. Does she jump in and save the day or does she hold her nose and pick the least objectionable candidate to try to prop up?
2. Mrs. Palin's comments regarding there still being time to enter the race and "shake things up" even post-Iowa were made in TWO interviews over the course of one day also mark a shift of sorts. In one interview, you could dismiss her comments as just a throwaway. Mentioning it in two interviews in one day coming roughly 24 hours after she dismissed the current GOP field? Well, that's something. It means that this is something that she intentionally wants us to hear. Why? Prior to this Palin has been very careful to always state that she has "no regrets" on her decision. These interviews run counter to that.
3. I am not of the mind-set that Mrs. Palin has always been running and that this is all a part of her master plan to run while not running. I know a lot of good folks who do believe that. I just don't. She clearly looked and acted differently when she decided not to run. I think she was waiting out the field for some time. I think, however, that something changed her mind in mid to late September regarding a presidential run.
4. Mrs. Palin isn't necessarily coordinating her campaign kickoff just yet, but folks who are dismissing her supporters as delusional are also off-base.
5. I don't even know that Mrs. Palin is reconsidering. I think she's open to it. I don't think you can see her comments in the full context and not at least concede that she's open to the idea. I think she's having serious doubts that the current GOP field can carry this message of reform. Is it enough to propel her into the race? Maybe. Is it worth telling folks to caucus for her in Iowa? I think it might be. As Rush Limbaugh commented, it is very easy to spell Palin.
6. Sarah has had every opportunity to tell the "reconsider" folks to stop. Her comments in both interviews, it seems to me, set off an additional internet firestorm about her intentions regarding 2012. There have already been Facebook groups, blog posts, and television ads run in Iowa in support of the reconsider movement. If she didn't want folks thinking that a simple tweet would correct the situation. No such tweet has materialized.
It could be that Sarah is just trying to "scare" the GOP field into adapting her message. Time for that approach seems to be running out however.
Sarah Palin's 3 interviews over Sunday and Monday were designed to get people thinking. Whether that leads to more vetting for the current crop of candidates or whether it culminates in her entering the race at some later date, it is a dramatic shift from the last 2 months.
Is it an earthquake?
I don't think people should read too much into her comments. I don't think they should read too little into them either. She promised Sean Hannity an "unconventional campaign" in the fall. I believe that she has the capacity and potential to deliver just that.
So the good folks in the reconsider movement should keep it up. Good common sense Constitutional folks in Iowa should take a long hard look at caucusing for Palin. Newt has slipped into a distant third in Iowa. Crazy Ron Paul (who is completely unelectable) and RINO Romney are currently the top dogs in Iowa. Bachmann and Perry are too low to matter. Santorum is surging, but has just caught up to Perry and Bachmann after a year of campaigning. Tea party folks might want to look at the idea of writing in Palin. A strong showing for Palin would probably do more to thwart the plans of the establishment at this point than anything. If Romney wins Iowa as it currently looks like he might, a strong showing from Palin could steal his thunder and jump start the conservative comeback. Palin could then get into the race or use her strong showing to again put pressure on the gang to get their act together and unite behind a non-Romney candidate. Either way the tea party wins.
Iowa just might shake things up after all. Given the terrible state of the GOP declared candidates, it can't come a moment too soon.
8 comments:
Great clear concise and common sense article. I love the Ad for Iowa: An Earthquake in the making. I like your site name too. City on a Hill Political Observer in reference to our great President Ronald Reagan.
As a spiritual person, I do not base my life on the political situation. I am not indifferent to it -- far, far from it -- but my life is centered elsewhere. Whatever bitterness awaits us as a country, I will try to bear it with good grace, because, as the writer of Hebrews said, "Here we have no lasting city, but seek the city which is to come."
That being said, it is an irony of proportions unparalleled in my life that our nation -- which is to say, the American conception of the right relation between the individual and the state -- is in immediate peril of being extinguished and that the ideal candidate to meet that threat is sitting on the sidelines. I have said elsewhere that she is the Ronald Reagan of her generation; she may, in fact, the George Washington of her generation.
I have long since resolved not to question her decision not to run. She is entitled to make her own decision, and her God and her family come first. I can't say that I'm not sorry; but my sorrow is my issue, not hers.
I do not live in an early-voting state, but I'm thinking of writing Palin's name in when I go to the polls. If the front-runners are a man who can get himself elected and a man who can't (read, Romney and Paul), I'm sure I will vote responsibly; but if the choice is between Tweedledum and Tweedledee, there is no point in not voting for the right person.
I am in my fifties, and in all my years as an adult I have never felt as certain as I do about a potential candidate for the Presidency as I do about Palin. The fact that there seem to be thousands, if not millions, of others who feel similarly only strengthens my certainty.
I don't look for her to run; but if she does I will support her candidacy with everything I am.
Excellent post. As a non-American 'nista, I'm hoping for a Spring offensive - a Valentine's Day launch would be good. Realistically, she said there would need to be an earthquake of 10.3* to make her run.
*I believe that when Alaskans mention 10.3, they're referring to the quake of '64 which measured 10.3 on the old scale. On the new scale it measures 9.2.
I noticed a shift in Sarah Palin's thinking on the last interview she did with Hannity. When asked if there were any regrets of not getting in the race, she hesitated. That was the first time she did. And then the interview with Shannon and Eric happened. It was a one-two punch. She's definitely sending a message. I hope and pray that her message is that she's reconsidering. She's my one and only pick. The only one I trust.
Sarah has repeatedly urged radical reform as essential to restoring integrity to the political process, and not a single one of the current GOP candidates has taken up that issue. If she does not do it, no one else will.
Sarah is not the only one who is disappointed. A strong showing of grass roots support for Sarah in Iowa could, conceivably, change the GOP primary dynamic overnight.
We'll see.
Laddie_Blah_Blah
We need a Sudden and Relentless Reformer. That is Gov. Palin. Vote Rogue! Caucus and Write-in for Gov. Palin American Patriots.
The Ad for Iowa is great. Thanks for all your hard work.
Was this really setting up the table for 2016 or 2020? What about setting herself up for the VP slot?
"What about setting herself up for the VP slot?"
I have no idea, but in my opinion this would be a moral outrage. You don't hitch Man of War to an ice wagon.
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